vendredi 26 avril 2019

Apocalyptic prediction and our present reality

The origins of this disease (MCD millennial climate disease) can be traced to Ehrlich's 1968 book "The Population Bomb". He said:
" In the 1970s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date, nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate"  

Ten years later it was obvious that the predictions of imminent death and disaster were wrong but Hansen et al NASA 1981 in "Climate Impact of Increasing Carbon Dioxide" resurrected many of the doomsday establishment  scenarios :
"A sea level rise of 5 m would flood 25 percent of Louisiana and Florida,10 percent of New Jersey, and many other lowlands throughout the world. Climate models (7, 8) indicate that 2°C global warming is needed to cause 5°C warming at the West Antarctic ice sheet. A 2°C global warming is exceeded in the 21st century in all the CO2 scenarios we considered, except no growth and coal phaseout."
"The global warming projected for the next century is of almost unprecedented magnitude. On the basis of our model calculations, we estimate it to be 2.5°C for a scenario with slow energy growth and a mixture of nonfossil and fossil fuels. This would exceed the temperature during the altithermal (6000 years ago) and the previous (Eemian)interglacial period 125,000 years ago(53), and would approach the warmth of the Mesozoic, the age of dinosaurs"... Hansen said :"The trains carrying coal to power plants are death trains. Coal-fired power plants are factories of death." 
…." if we burn all fossil fuels, we will destroy the planet we know. Carbon dioxide would increase to 500 ppm or more. We would set the planet on a course to the ice-free state, with sea level 75 metres higher."

https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/fig9-14.gif


http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com/



http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com/



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